Climate change threatens Uganda’s maize and coffee value chains. How can farmers adapt?

A new research report, titled „Climate risk analysis for adaptation planning in Uganda’s agricultural sector. An assessment of maize and coffee value chains” sheds light on the increasing threat of climate change to Uganda’s agriculture and some of its vital value chains. The research report focuses on two key agricultural value chains: maize and coffee. By analysing data from ten global climate models under different emissions scenarios, the study projects temperature and precipitation changes in Uganda. The study suggests several adaptation strategies, including improved maize varieties, agroforestry for coffee production, and enhanced storage methods for both crops. These strategies not only mitigate climate-related losses but also offer cost-effective solutions.


One of the primary objectives within the ongoing AGRICA Project is the thorough examination of these climate risks. HFFA Research GmbH has been actively engaged in this project through a subcontract with the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). The recently published report also placed significant emphasis on evaluating the advantages and disadvantages of chosen adaptation strategies intended for Sub-Saharan African countries‘ agricultural sectors. Leveraging climate modeling outcomes and yield projections provided by PIK researchers, our team at HFFA Research GmbH conducted several cost-benefit analyses of adaptation measures specifically tailored for coffee and maize production in Uganda. The report’s findings are a crucial step in implementing adaptation strategies within the local context. Additionally, they will offer valuable support to policymakers and local planners in shaping sustainable adaptation policies at the community level.


The full report and the policy brief are available for download.